Heart failure & cardiomyopathiesCohort study

Remote monitoring of heart failure exacerbations using a smartwatch

Nat MedPublished

  • Prospective observational cohort study
  • deep learning model
  • held-out validation set
  • external validation

Authors' conclusion

These results indicate that wearable-derived daily pVO2 provides earlier and improved risk discrimination compared with existing wearable fitness estimates and established clinical markers and offers a scalable and generalizable approach for longitudinal HF research and monitoring.

Study context

Population
Free-living patients with heart failure (HF) (Ted Rogers Understanding Exacerbations of HF (TRUE-HF) study) wearing Apple Watchmedian 94.5 d
Exposure
TRUE-HF vs All of Us
Outcome
Ability of Apple Watch data to predict pVO2 measured by in-clinic CPET

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Wearable-derived daily pVO2 vs CPET-measured pVO2

Pearson's correlation, wearable-derived vs cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET)-measured pVO2

0.85

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
Unplanned healthcare events per 10% drop in wearable-derived daily pVO2 · events at median 7.4 d after first 10% drop3.62 (1.37–9.55)P < 0.01

Unplanned healthcare utilization, external cohort (All of Us), reduced-sensor model

ComparisonHR (95% CI)P value
Drops in wearable-derived daily pVO2 · events at median 21 d after first 10% drop · external validation1.32 (1.03–1.69)P = 0.03

Original publication

Remote monitoring of heart failure exacerbations using a smartwatch. Nat Med. Published 20 March 2026. doi:10.1038/s41591-026-04247-3

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it