Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Characterizing advanced heart failure risk and hemodynamic phenotypes using interpretable machine learning

Am Heart JPublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Novel interpretable ML models predicted risk categories with a high degree of accuracy.

Study context

Population
Advanced heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); trained on ESCAPE trial, validated in 4 advanced heart failure (HF) cohorts from previous trials
Comparison
Invasive hemodynamics feature set vs all features feature set
Outcome
Prediction of risk category (1–5) based on composite of death, left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation or transplantation (DeLvTx) and rehospitalization; AUC per category
Follow-up
6 months
Methodological detailsinterpretable machine learning, unsupervised clustering, external validation in 4 cohorts
  • Interpretable machine learning
  • Unsupervised clustering
  • External validation in 4 cohorts

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Accuracy of 5 separate models predicting risk category
Test or modelAccuracy range
Invasive hemodynamics0.896 +/- 0.074 to 0.969 +/- 0.081
All features0.858 +/- 0.067 to 0.997 +/- 0.070

Accuracy range

Invasive hemodynamics0.896 +/- 0.074 to 0.969 +/- 0.081
All features0.858 +/- 0.067 to 0.997 +/- 0.070

Original publication

Characterizing advanced heart failure risk and hemodynamic phenotypes using interpretable machine learning. Am Heart J. Published 7 February 2024. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2024.02.001

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