Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Risk calculator of multimorbid risk of rehospitalization and death from heart failure: including the contribution of the gut microbiome

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

A novel risk model and score were derived that showed the contribution of comorbidities including the added value of the gut-heart axis on risk stratification of HF patients on rehospitalization and death.

Study context

Population
Inpatients with heart failure (HF) from two combined independent European studies
Comparison
Training vs Validation
Outcome
Death and/or rehospitalization due to HF (death/HF)
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailssplit-sample validation (70:30), two independent HF cohorts combined
  • Split-sample validation (70:30)
  • Two independent HF cohorts combined

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of 11-variable risk model for death/HF
Test or modelDiagnostic performanceC-statistic
Training0.71
Validation0.70

Diagnostic performance

Training0.71
Validation— not stated in the abstract

C-statistic

Training— not stated in the abstract
Validation0.70
Validation C-statistic P value
P < 0.001

Further findings

Incidence of death/HF by risk score category (3 groups: low/mid/high; 2 groups: low/high)

Increased incidence of death/HF in highest-risk patients with both approaches
P < 0.001

Original publication

Risk calculator of multimorbid risk of rehospitalization and death from heart failure: including the contribution of the gut microbiome. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 28 April 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf270

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

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