Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Secondhand tobacco smoke and risk of atrial fibrillation: An observational epidemiologic and gene-environment interaction analysis

Heart RhythmPublished nationwide population-based cohort study

Main finding · Risk of incident AFResult — go to the resultMultivariable-adjusted hazard ratio 1.06 95% CI 1.02–1.09

Authors' conclusion

Exposure to SHS is a significant predictor of an increased risk of AF, with a synergistic effect when combined with genetic predisposition. Minimizing SHS exposure, especially in individuals with a heightened genetic susceptibility to AF, may potentially reduce the future risk of AF.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants categorized by secondhand tobacco smoke exposure
Exposure
SHS-exposure vs nonexposure groups
Outcome
risk of incident AF
Follow-up
Median 12.5 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank database, gene-environment interaction analysis
  • UK Biobank database
  • Gene-environment interaction analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio

1.06

95% CI 1.02–1.09

P = 0.002

SHS-exposure group vs nonexposure group
multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio 1.06 (95% CI 1.02–1.09); P = 0.002
Atrial fibrillation (AF) occurred in
23,471 (5.9%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeAdjusted hazard ratio (CI)P value
Risk of AF, severe SHS-exposure group (dose-dependent)Severe SHS-exposure group vs nonexposure group1.11 (1.04–1.18)P = 0.001

Risk of AF by exposure location (home, outside, or workplace)

The risk of AF was higher in the SHS-exposure group regardless of the exposure location

Additive interaction of SHS exposure with third tertile of AF polygenic risk score

Synergy index
1.13; 1.05-1.21; P = .024

Baseline characteristics

The SHS-exposure group was younger and predominantly male

Original publication

Secondhand tobacco smoke and risk of atrial fibrillation: An observational epidemiologic and gene-environment interaction analysis. Heart Rhythm. Published 19 August 2025. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2025.08.021

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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