The MIDA Mortality Risk Score: development and external validation of a prognostic model for early and late death in degenerative mitral regurgitation

Eur Heart JPublished Prognostic model development and external validation study

Authors' conclusion

The MIDA Score may represent an innovative tool for DMR management, being able to position a given patient within a continuous spectrum of short- and long-term mortality risk, either under medical or surgical management.

Study context

Population
Patients with pure, isolated degenerative mitral regurgitation (DMR) consecutively diagnosed by echocardiography at tertiary European/North/South-American centresMIDA registries
Participants
3,666 patients
Comparison
Derivation vs Validation
  • Derivationn = 2,472
  • Validationn = 1,194
Outcome
Total mortality post-diagnosis (MIDA Score, range 0–12, discrimination)
Methodological detailsmulticentre, international registries
  • Multicentre
  • International registries

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Concordance of MIDA Score for total mortality
Test or modelC
Derivation0.78
Validation0.81

C

Derivation0.78
Validation0.81

Further findings

1-year mortality by MIDA Score (whole MIDA population)

Medical management, Scores 0, 7-8, 11-12
0.4, 17, and 48%
After surgery, Scores 0, 7-8, 11-12
1, 7, and 14%
  • P < 0.001

5-year survival by MIDA Score (whole MIDA population)

Medical management, Scores 0, 7-8, 11-12
98 ± 1, 57 ± 4, and 21 ± 10%
After surgery, Scores 0, 7-8, 11-12
99 ± 1, 82 ± 2, and 57 ± 9%
  • P < 0.001

Incremental prognostic information over guideline markers and EuroScoreII

MIDA Score provided incremental prognostic information
P ≤ 0.002

Original publication

The MIDA Mortality Risk Score: development and external validation of a prognostic model for early and late death in degenerative mitral regurgitation. Eur Heart J. Published 13 August 2017. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehx465

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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