Valvular & structural heart diseaseCohort study

The Mortality Burden of Untreated Aortic Stenosis

J Am Coll CardiolPublished

  • Retrospective cohort study
  • multicentre
  • real-world database

Authors' conclusion

Patients with AS have high mortality risk across all levels of untreated AS severity.

Study context

Population
Adults (>18 years) with echocardiographic aortic stenosis (AS) severity assessment, 24 US hospitalswith AS severity assessment
Participants
595,120 adults
Exposure
Untreated AS severity categories vs no AS
Outcome
Untreated all-cause mortality (KM estimate, unadjusted)
Follow-up
4 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Untreated all-cause mortality

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Kaplan-Meier (KM)-estimated 4-year observed treatment rate, by AS severity (none, mild, mild-to-moderate, moderate, moderate-to-severe, severe, respectively)

None
0.2% (95% CI: 0.2%-0.2%)
Mild
1.0% (95% CI: 0.7%-1.3%)
Mild-to-moderate
4.2% (95% CI: 2.0%-6.3%)
Moderate
11.4% (95% CI: 9.5%-13.3%)
Moderate-to-severe
36.7% (95% CI: 31.8%-41.2%)
Severe
60.7% (95% CI: 58.0%-63.3%)
  • values in the order of AS severity, as printed ("respectively")

4-year mortality adjusted for informative censoring caused by treatment

Results similar to unadjusted

All-cause mortality after multivariate adjustment

All degrees of AS severity associated with increased mortality

Original publication

The Mortality Burden of Untreated Aortic Stenosis. J Am Coll Cardiol. Published 24 October 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jacc.2023.09.796

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it