Valvular & structural heart disease

Traditional and novel risk factors for incident aortic stenosis in community-dwelling older adults

HeartPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This comprehensive evaluation of risk factors for long-term incidence of AS identified associations for diabetes and prevalent CHD, LpPLA2 activity, sCD14 and IL-6, and eGFRcr.

Study context

Population
Community-dwelling older adults, Cardiovascular Health Study
Participants
5,390 adults
Exposure
Traditional and novel risk factors for incident aortic stenosis (AS)
Outcome
Incident moderate or severe AS (including AS procedures)
Follow-up
Median 13.1 years
Methodological detailspopulation-based
  • Population-based

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident moderate/severe AS (287 cases), fully adjusted
Estimate (95% CI)
Age
HR 1.66 per SD(1.45–1.91)
Male sex
HR 1.41(1.06–1.87)
Diabetes
HR 1.53(1.10–2.13)
CHD
HR 1.36(1.01–1.84)
LpPLA2 activity
HR 1.21 per SD(1.07–1.37)
sCD14
HR 1.16 per SD(1.01–1.34)
Black raceinverse association
HR 0.40(0.24–0.65)

Per SD, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Clinically significant AS (severe AS, including procedures; 175 cases)

Findings similar; Coronary heart disease (CHD) and sCD14 fell short of significance; IL-6 showed a positive association

Original publication

Traditional and novel risk factors for incident aortic stenosis in community-dwelling older adults. Heart. Published 18 July 2023. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2023-322709

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