Coronary disease & ACS

Use of Serial Changes in Biomarkers vs. Baseline Levels to Predict Left Ventricular Remodelling After STEMI

ESC Heart FailPublished Prognostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

Baseline biomarker levels of hsTnT and ST2 were the strongest predictors of LVEF and LVEDV at 12 months after STEMI.

Study context

Population
Patients after STEMI treated by PCI, from the ETiCS study
Participants
44 patients
Comparison
Baseline biomarker levels vs change in levels (baseline (BL) to 6 months) vs both combined for predicting LV remodelling
Outcome
Prediction of dichotomized cardiac MRI values (LVEF, LVEDV, LVESV, infarct size) by CCN1, NT-proBNP, hsTnT and ST2 (AUC)
Follow-up
12 months after STEMI
Methodological detailsserial 3-T cardiac MRI, multiple logistic regression adjusted for age and renal function
  • Serial 3-T cardiac MRI
  • Multiple logistic regression adjusted for age and renal function

Performance

As reported in the abstract

LVEF prediction (AUC) · 12 months
Test or modelhsTnT AUCST2 AUC
BL0.870 (95% CI: 0.756-0.983)0.763 (95% CI: 0.615-0.911)
Δ value0.870 (95% CI: 0.756-0.983)0.809 (95% CI: 0.679-0.939)
Combined0.891 (0.791-0.992)0.778 (0.638-0.918)

hsTnT AUC

BL0.870 (95% CI: 0.756-0.983)
Δ value0.870 (95% CI: 0.756-0.983)
Combined0.891 (0.791-0.992)

ST2 AUC

BL0.763 (95% CI: 0.615-0.911)
Δ value0.809 (95% CI: 0.679-0.939)
Combined0.778 (0.638-0.918)
  • BL vs Δ value: P = 1 — hsTnT
  • BL vs Δ value: P = 0.304 — ST2
  • Combined vs BL: P = 0.444 — hsTnT; no improvement
  • Combined vs BL: P = 0.799 — ST2; no improvement

Further findings

OutcomeBL
Baseline CCN1 and LVEDV at 12 months, infarct size
CCN1 AUC, LVEDV0.708 (95% CI: 0.551-0.865)
CCN1 AUC, infarct size0.703 (95% CI: 0.534-0.872)

Original publication

Use of Serial Changes in Biomarkers vs. Baseline Levels to Predict Left Ventricular Remodelling After STEMI. ESC Heart Fail. Published 21 October 2022. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14204

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