Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Vascular cell adhesion molecule 1: a marker for atrial fibrillation and heart failure risk

EuropacePublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Higher sVCAM-1 levels were associated with AF and HF and lower LAEF. Integration of an AF PRS with sVCAM-1 levels identified a dose-response-like relationship with risk of AF.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants included 2006–2010, follow-up to 202354.6% women
Participants
48,495 participants
Exposure
Higher vs lower sVCAM-1 levels
Outcome
Incident AF and HF
Methodological detailsUK Biobank
  • UK Biobank

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Atrial fibrillation (AF) per SD increase in sVCAM-1, HR

1.72 (1.54-1.91) (95% CI)

Heart failure (HF) per SD increase in sVCAM-1, HR

2.04 (1.78-2.34) (95% CI)

Diagnosed with AF during follow-up

3484

Diagnosed with clinical HF during follow-up

1937

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

10-year cumulative incidence, highest sVCAM-1 tertile

AF, %
6.44% (6.05-6.82) (95% CI)
HF, %
3.01% (2.74-3.29) (95% CI)

AF risk stratified by tertiles of AF polygenic risk score (PRS) and sVCAM-1

Dose-response-like relationship emerged

LAEF with higher sVCAM-1 (CMR sub-cohort, n = 933)

Reduced LAEF, β
−2.51 (−4.33 to −0.70) (95% CI)

Original publication

Vascular cell adhesion molecule 1: a marker for atrial fibrillation and heart failure risk. Europace. Published 25 October 2025. doi:10.1093/europace/euaf246

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