Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

A Machine Learning-Derived Score to Effectively Identify Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction

JACC AdvPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Diagnostic accuracy for HFpEFResult — go to the resultAUC 0.88 vs 0.74

Authors' conclusion

In a HFpEF cohort with obesity, BMI, estimated glomerular filtration rate, left ventricular mass index, and left atrial to left ventricular volume ratio most correlated with the identification of HFpEF, and a score based on these variables (HFpEF-JH score) outperformed the currently used H2PEF score.

Study context

Population
Patients with obesity with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) (mean BMI 36.6 kg/m²) and controls404 HFpEF, 67 controls
Exposure
HFpEF-JH score vs H2FPEF score for diagnosis of HFpEF
Outcome
Diagnosis of HFpEF
Methodological detailsmachine learning (Gradient Boosting Machine), multivariate logistic model, internal validation
  • Machine learning (Gradient Boosting Machine)
  • Multivariate logistic model
  • Internal validation

Main finding

Diagnostic accuracy for HFpEF

AUC

0.88 vs 0.74

P < 0.001

By group

HFpEF-JH score

Sensitivity
0.83
Specificity
0.82
AUC
0.88

H2FPEF score

0.74

AUC

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Internal validation of the model (optimism-adjusted AUC)

Optimism-adjusted AUC of the model
0.87

Original publication

A Machine Learning-Derived Score to Effectively Identify Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction. JACC Adv. Published 7 June 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2024.101040

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