Prevention & lipids

Allocation of Semaglutide According to Coronary Artery Calcium and BMI: Applying the SELECT Trial to MESA

JACC Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Prospective cohort study (secondary analysis of MESA) with modelled NNT

Main finding · MACEResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.16 95% CI 1.57–2.99

Authors' conclusion

Measurement of CAC may enhance value of care with weight loss dose semaglutide in those without diabetes or clinical CVD, improving allocation of a limited health care resource.

Study context

Population
MESA participants without DM or clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD) meeting BMI criteria for semaglutide, with coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring on noncontrast cardiac CT49% had CAC
Participants
3,129 participants
Exposure
CAC ≥300 vs CAC = 0
Outcome
Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)
Methodological detailsSELECT trial risk reductions applied to observed incidence rates
  • SELECT trial risk reductions applied to observed incidence rates

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

2.16

95% CI 1.57–2.99

P < 0.001

By group

CAC = 0

653

5-year NNT (semaglutide)

CAC ≥300

79

5-year NNT (semaglutide)

CAC ≥300vs CAC = 0
HR 2.16 (95% CI 1.57–2.99); P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeCAC = 0CAC ≥300HR (95% CI)P value
HF2.80 (1.81–4.35)P < 0.001
5-year NNT (semaglutide)1,094144
CKD1.59 (1.15–2.22)P = 0.006
5-year NNT (semaglutide)1,044144
All-cause mortality1.35 (1.08–1.69)P = 0.009
5-year NNT (semaglutide)40898

Original publication

Allocation of Semaglutide According to Coronary Artery Calcium and BMI: Applying the SELECT Trial to MESA. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 8 January 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jcmg.2024.10.004

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