Valvular & structural heart disease

Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography to predict regurgitant valvular heart diseases: an international study

Eur Heart JPublished Prognostic model development and external validation study

Authors' conclusion

This study developed AI-ECG models to diagnose and predict rVHDs and validated the models in a transnational and ethnically distinct cohort.

Study context

Population
Patients with paired ECG and transthoracic echocardiogram, Zhongshan Hospital, Shanghai, China; external outpatient set, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, US988,618 ECG–echo pairs
Participants
400,882 patients
Comparison
AI-ECG risk quartiles
Outcome
Future moderate or severe regurgitant valvular heart disease (VHD) (MR, TR, AR)
Methodological detailsinternational
  • International

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of future significant rVHD (internal test set)
Highest risk quartile vs Lowest risk quartileHazard ratio (95% CI)P value
MR; age- and sex-adjusted Cox
7.6(5.8–9.9)
P < 0.0001
AR
3.8(2.7–5.5)
TR
9.9(7.5–13.0)
C-index, mitral regurgitation (MR)
0.774 (95% CI 0.753-0.792)
C-index, aortic regurgitation (AR)
0.691 (95% CI 0.657-0.720)
C-index, tricuspid regurgitation (TR)
0.793 (95% CI 0.777-0.808)

Further findings

External test set (34 214 outpatients, Boston)

Findings confirmed in the transnational external test set

Imaging association

AI-ECG predictions associated with subclinical chamber remodelling

Original publication

Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography to predict regurgitant valvular heart diseases: an international study. Eur Heart J. Published 16 July 2025. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehaf448

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.