Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Association Between Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-to-Albumin Ratio and Prognosis in Non-Ischaemic Heart Failure

ESC Heart FailPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · All-cause mortality or heart transplantation, per log2 increase of RAR (multivariable Cox)Result — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.329 95% CI 1.677–3.237

Authors' conclusion

High level of RAR was an independent risk factor of poor outcome in NIHF.

Study context

Population
Non-ischaemic HF patients admitted to the Heart Failure Care Unit, Fuwai Hospital, December 2006 to October 2017500 reached composite outcome
Participants
2,077 patients
Exposure
RAR and all-cause mortality or heart transplantation
Outcome
Composite of:
  • All-cause mortality
  • Heart transplantation
Follow-up
1095 days
Methodological detailssingle-centre, consecutive enrolment, Follow-up for analysis set at 1095 days because gender no longer satisfied the Cox proportional risk assumption after 1150 days
  • Single-centre
  • Consecutive enrolment
  • Follow-up for analysis set at 1095 days because gender no longer satisfied the Cox proportional risk assumption after 1150 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

All-cause mortality or heart transplantation, per log2 increase of RAR (multivariable Cox)

Hazard ratio

2.329

95% CI 1.677–3.237

P < 0.001

Per log2 increase of RAR
HR 2.329 (95% CI 1.677–3.237); P < 0.001

Per log2 increase of RAR, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incremental predictive value of adding RAR to a 12-variable traditional risk model

Concordance index, model with RAR vs traditional model
0.766 (95% CI 0.754-0.778) vs. 0.758 (95% CI 0.746-0.770), P < 0.001
Akaike information criterion
1487.3 vs. 1495.74
Bayesian information criterion
1566.25 vs. 1569.43
Brier score
1569.43 vs. 1569.43
Likelihood ratio test
P < 0.001
Integrated discrimination improvement
1.35%, 95% CI 0.63-2.07%, P < 0.001
Net reclassification improvement
13.73%, 95% CI 2.05-27.18%, P = 0.034
Higher overall net benefit in threshold risk probability
20-55%

Original publication

Association Between Red Blood Cell Distribution Width-to-Albumin Ratio and Prognosis in Non-Ischaemic Heart Failure. ESC Heart Fail. Published 24 January 2024. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14628

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