Cardio-oncology & other

Baseline Cardiac Biomarker Levels as Predictors of Cancer Risk in the MESA Cohort

JACC AdvPublished prospective cohort

Authors' conclusion

In the MESA cohort, higher baseline levels of hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP predicted an increased risk of incident cancer, with no significant differences by race/ethnicity or sex.

Study context

Population
MESA participants free of self-reported cancer and cardiovascular disease at baselineMESA participants free of self-reported cancer and cardiovascular disease at baseline
Participants
6,244 participants
Exposure
Association of baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and NT-proBNP levels with incident cancer risk
Outcome
Incident cancer events
Follow-up
Median 17.8 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident cancer events

820

Incidence rate

91.2 cases per 10,000 person-years

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (per SD) (95% CI)P value
All-cancer endpointshs-cTnT · fully adjusted model1.18 (1.09–1.27)P < 0.001
All-cancer endpointsNT-proBNP · fully adjusted model2.41 (1.30–4.49)P = 0.006
  • All-cancer endpoints: HRs calculated based on the SDs for continuous covariates after standardization

Incidence rates for all cancers by baseline hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP levels

Higher incidence rates for all cancers generally associated with higher baseline hs-cTnT and NT-proBNP levels, especially in the highest quartiles

Effect modification by sex and race/ethnicity

Sex and race/ethnicity did not significantly affect any of these associations

Baseline characteristics

Median age
61.0 years
Female
52.7%

Original publication

Baseline Cardiac Biomarker Levels as Predictors of Cancer Risk in the MESA Cohort. JACC Adv. Published 16 June 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101884

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