Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

The BLISTER Score: A Novel, Externally Validated Tool for Predicting Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device Infections, and Its Cost-Utility Implications for Antimicrobial Envelope Use

Circ Arrhythm ElectrophysiolPublished Risk score derivation and external validation study

Authors' conclusion

The BLISTER score (https://qxmd.com/calculate/calculator_876/the-blister-score-for-cied-infection) was a valid predictor of cardiac implantable electronic device infection, and could facilitate cost-effective antimicrobial envelope allocation to high-risk patients.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing cardiac implantable electronic device procedures, UKderivation n=7383
Participants
12,198 patients
Comparison
BLISTER score vs PADIT score
Outcome
Cardiac implantable electronic device infection (discriminative performance, AUC)
Follow-up
12 months after procedure
Methodological detailsexternal validation cohorts, cost-utility modelling
  • External validation cohorts
  • Cost-utility modelling

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for CIED infection (AUC)
Test or modelAUC, standard-risk cohortAUC, high-risk cohortAUC, all patients
BLISTER0.820.770.8
PADIT0.710.690.75

AUC, standard-risk cohort

BLISTER0.82
PADIT0.71

AUC, high-risk cohort

BLISTER0.77
PADIT0.69

AUC, all patients

BLISTER0.8
PADIT0.75
  • BLISTER vs PADIT: P = 0.001 — standard-risk cohort (n=2854, event rate 0.8%)
  • BLISTER vs PADIT: P = 0.001 — high-risk cohort (n=1961, event rate 2.0%)
  • BLISTER vs PADIT: P = 0.002 — all patients (n=12 198, event rate 1%)

Further findings

Independent predictors of CIED infection beyond PADIT constituents (derivation cohort, n=7383) · within 12 months of a procedure

Lead extraction: HR 3.3 (95% CI 1.9-6.1)
P < 0.0001
C-reactive protein >50 mg/L: HR 3.0 (95% CI 1.4-6.4)
P = 0.005
Reintervention within 2 years: HR 10.1 (95% CI 5.6-17.9)
P < 0.0001
Top-quartile procedure duration: HR 2.6 (95% CI 1.6-4.1)
P = 0.001
  • 59 infections (event rate 0.8%)

Decision-analytic modelling: antimicrobial envelopes assigned to patients with BLISTER scores ≥6 (10.8%), the optimum scenario

Relative risk reduction in infections
30%
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, within NICE cost-utility thresholds
£18 446
  • P=0.036

Original publication

The BLISTER Score: A Novel, Externally Validated Tool for Predicting Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device Infections, and Its Cost-Utility Implications for Antimicrobial Envelope Use. Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. Published 22 January 2024. doi:10.1161/circep.123.012446

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