Aortic & peripheral vascular diseaseCohort study

Circulating Trimethylamine N-Oxide and Growth Rate of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Surgical Risk

JAMA CardiolPublished

  • Prospective cohort study
  • 2 independent cohorts
  • single-centre studies
  • Data analysed October 2023 to May 2025

Authors' conclusion

Results of this cohort study suggest that elevated circulating TMAO levels were associated with increased risk of AAA and identified patients at heightened risk for fast-growing AAA and recommended surgical intervention.

Study context

Population
Patients undergoing serial imaging surveillance of the aorta and long-term outcome monitoring
Participants
237 vs 658
Exposure
Elevated vs lower circulating TMAO
  • Europeann = 237
  • USn = 658
Outcome
Association of TMAO with AAA risk, fast-growing AAA (≥4.0 mm per year) and recommended surgical intervention (≥4.0 mm per year or ≥5.5 cm diameter)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Fast-growing AAA (≥4.0 mm per year) and recommended surgical intervention (≥4.0 mm per year or ≥5.5 cm diameter), by TMAO level
Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI)
Elevated TMAOfast-growing AAA
2.75(1.20–6.79)
Elevated TMAOrecommended surgical intervention
2.67(1.24–6.09)
US cohortfast-growing AAA, heightened TMAO
2.71(1.53–4.80)
combined cohortfast-growing AAA, heightened TMAO
2.30(1.47–3.62)
US cohortrecommended surgical intervention, heightened TMAO
2.73(1.56–4.80)
combined cohortrecommended surgical intervention, heightened TMAO
2.41(1.55–3.74)

Per year, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Added value of TMAO to base models with traditional CV risk factors

Significant improvement in risk estimation for fast-growing abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) and predicting recommended surgical intervention

Original publication

Circulating Trimethylamine N-Oxide and Growth Rate of Abdominal Aortic Aneurysms and Surgical Risk. JAMA Cardiol. Published 1 October 2025. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2025.2698

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it