Coronary disease & ACS

Contemporary Methods for Predicting Acute Kidney Injury After Coronary Intervention

JACC Cardiovasc IntervPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The updated NCDR AKI risk model further refines AKI prediction after PCI, facilitating enhanced clinical care, benchmarking, and quality improvement.

Study context

Population
All 2020 percutaneous coronary intervention (PCIs) in the National Cardiovascular Data Registry (NCDR) CathPCI Registry, excluding those on dialysis or lacking postprocedural creatinine
Participants
455,806 PCI procedures
Outcome
AKI (absolute creatinine increase of 0.3 mg/dL or 50% increase from baseline) and AKI requiring dialysis; model calibration and discrimination
Methodological detailsregistry-based (NCDR CathPCI Registry), 70% derivation / 30% validation random split, logistic regression risk model, Bedside risk scores and threshold contrast doses created
  • Registry-based (NCDR CathPCI Registry)
  • 70% derivation / 30% validation random split
  • Logistic regression risk model
  • Bedside risk scores and threshold contrast doses created

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI)
7.2%
Incidence of new dialysis
0.7%
Final AKI model variables
13
C-statistic (validation cohort)
0.798
Calibration intercept (validation cohort)
−0.03
Calibration slope (validation cohort)
0.97

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Contemporary Methods for Predicting Acute Kidney Injury After Coronary Intervention. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. Published 25 September 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jcin.2023.07.041

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