Coronary disease & ACS

Development and Validation of Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography (CCTA)-based Radiomics Signature for Predicting Coronary Plaques With Rapid Progression

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

The proposed CCTA-based RS had a better discriminative value to identify plaques at risk of rapid progression compared with conventional morphological plaque parameters.

Study context

Population
Patients with serial CCTA examinations at 2 tertiary hospitalsdevelopment 137, validation 77
Participants
214 patients
Comparison
CCTA-based radiomics signature vs conventional morphological parameters for predicting rapid plaque progression
Outcome
RPP (annual progression of plaque burden ≥1.0% on lesion level at follow-up CCTA)
Methodological detailsretrospective, 2 tertiary hospitals, development and validation cohorts
  • Retrospective
  • 2 tertiary hospitals
  • Development and validation cohorts

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AUC for predicting RPP
Test or modelAUC, developmentAUC, validation
Radiomics signature (RS)0.820.81
Morphological parameters0.740.69

AUC, development

Radiomics signature (RS)0.82
Morphological parameters0.74

AUC, validation

Radiomics signature (RS)0.81
Morphological parameters0.69
  • RS vs Morphological parameters: P = 0.04 — development group
  • RS vs Morphological parameters: P = 0.04 — validation group

Further findings

OutcomeOR (95% CI)P value
RS as independent predictor of RPP (validation group, multivariable)Adjusted for morphological confounders2.35 (1.32–4.46)P = 0.005

Change in RS at follow-up (whole dataset)

RS increased significantly in rapid plaque progression (RPP) group; unchanged in non-RPP group
P < 0.001

Original publication

Development and Validation of CCTA-based Radiomics Signature for Predicting Coronary Plaques With Rapid Progression. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 19 September 2023. doi:10.1161/circimaging.123.015340

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