Coronary disease & ACS

Radiomics Analysis of Chronic Total Occlusion (CTO) Plaques for Predicting Successful Guidewire Crossing Within 30 Minutes of PCI

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

CTO characteristics revealed by radiomics analysis can be used as effective imaging biomarkers for predicting guidewire success. However, the performance of the radiomics model depends on anatomic and operator factors.

Study context

Population
Patients with CTO undergoing PCI, retrospectively enrolled from one hospital (training and internal test sets) and from 2 other hospitals (external test sets)
Participants
551 patients565 CTO lesions
Comparison
Radiomics model vs prior prediction models
Outcome
Successful guidewire crossing within 30 minutes (guidewire success) of CTO PCI
Methodological detailsretrospective, multicentre, internal and external test sets
  • Retrospective
  • Multicentre
  • Internal and external test sets

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Guidewire success, external test set
Test or modelAUCAccuracySensitivitySpecificity
Radiomics model0.8674.58%81.58%61.90%

Radiomics model

AUC0.86
Accuracy74.58%
Sensitivity81.58%
Specificity61.90%
  • Radiomics model vs Prior prediction models: P < 0.05 — significantly higher; P<0.05 for all

Further findings

Guidewire success by data set

Training set
203 of 357
Internal test set
85 of 149
External test set
38 of 59

Radiomics model performance by subgroup

Performance dependent on calcification, CTO location, adjacent branch(es) and operator caseload

Original publication

Radiomics Analysis of CTO Plaques for Predicting Successful Guidewire Crossing Within 30 Minutes of PCI. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 20 August 2024. doi:10.1161/circimaging.123.016117

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