Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Device-based longitudinal monitoring of premature atrial contractions before atrial fibrillation onset

Heart RhythmPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In our population of patients with CIEDs, those who developed AF had higher PAC frequencies, with a marked increase in the year before onset. A PAC burden of <31.8 PACs/d was rarely associated with future AF.

Study context

Population
Patients with Boston Scientific cardiovascular implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) (cardiovascular implantable electronic devices) with remote monitoringmean follow-up 5.2 years
Participants
101 patients
Exposure
Patients who developed AF vs those who did not
  • AFn = 48
  • Non-AFn = 53reference
Outcome
PAC frequency (daily PAC count) before AF onset
Methodological details2 phases
  • 2 phases

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Daily PAC count

P < 0.0001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

PAC threshold of 31.8 premature atrial complexes (PACs)/d for ruling out AF (ROC)

AUC
0.828
PPV
71%
NPV
97%

PAC frequency change in the year before AF onset (AF patients, phase 2)

Increase in PAC frequency (105.7-172.5/d; P = .04)
63%
Remained elevated in the next year (P = .52)

Original publication

Device-based longitudinal monitoring of premature atrial contractions before atrial fibrillation onset. Heart Rhythm. Published 14 November 2025. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2025.11.020

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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