Congenital heart disease

Electrocardiogram-Based Deep Learning to Predict Mortality in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot

JACC Clin ElectrophysiolPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

This externally validated AI-ECG model may complement imaging biomarkers to improve risk stratification in patients with rTOF.

Study context

Population
Patients with repaired tetralogy of Fallot (rTOF)
Participants
1,054 vs 335
Comparison
Internal testing vs External validation
  • Internal testingn = 1,054
  • External validationn = 335
Outcome
5-year mortality prediction (AUROC, AUPRC)
Follow-up
5 years
Methodological detailsdevelopment and external validation, multicentre registry (INDICATOR)
  • Development and external validation
  • Multicentre registry (INDICATOR)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

AI-ECG prediction of 5-year mortality
Test or modelAUROCAUPRC
Internal testing0.830.18
External validation0.810.21

AUROC

Internal testing0.83
External validation0.81

AUPRC

Internal testing0.18
External validation0.21

Further findings

Cohort mortality

Comparison with other predictors

AI-ECG performed similarly to biventricular global function index and outperformed QRS duration
AI-ECG, but not QRS duration, was a significant independent predictor of shorter time-to-death in Cox model with biventricular global function index, in internal and external cohorts

Saliency mapping high-risk ECG features

QRS fragmentation, wide and low-amplitude QRS complexes, flattened T waves

Original publication

Electrocardiogram-Based Deep Learning to Predict Mortality in Repaired Tetralogy of Fallot. JACC Clin Electrophysiol. Published 18 September 2024. doi:10.1016/j.jacep.2024.07.015

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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