Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Electrocardiogram vs Electrophysiological Study and Major Conduction Delays in Myotonic Dystrophy Type 1

JAMA CardiolPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this cohort of patients with DM1, the HV interval outperformed ECG criteria in predicting MBAEs.

Study context

Population
Adults with genetically confirmed myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1 Heart Registry, 2000–2020), first electrophysiological study (EPS) after 1999, no history of advanced AV block or sustained VTof 1778 registry adults
Participants
706 adults
Exposure
EPS-based (His-ventricular (HV) interval) vs electrocardiogram (ECG)-based criteria for predicting major bradyarrhythmic events
  • EPS criterionn = 273
  • ECG criterian = 232reference
Outcome
Major bradyarrhythmic events:
  • SCD
  • Resuscitated cardiac arrest
  • Second-degree type II or complete AV block
Follow-up
Median 5.9 years
Methodological detailsmulticentre, 6 French university hospitals, registry-based, Data analysed January to July 2025
  • Multicentre
  • 6 French university hospitals
  • Registry-based
  • Data analysed January to July 2025

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

MBAE · median (IQR) follow-up 5.9 (2.3-9.7) years

EPS criterion

68.35%

6.24%

performance index (sensitivity) [SE]

ECG criteria

34.76%

6.47%

performance index (sensitivity) [SE]

Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
EPS criterionvs ECG criteriaEPS criterion as predictor of MBAE
2.89(1.92–4.34)
ECG criteriaECG criteria as predictor of MBAE
1.95(1.31–2.89)
HV intervalmultivariable Cox model; only variable significantly associated
1.77(1.46–2.16)
P < 0.001
HV intervaljoint model with time-varying PR and QRS
1.78(1.40–2.22)
P = 0.001
MBAE incidence, all patients
99 patients (14%)
EPS criterion accurately reclassified patients with an MBAE
28.8%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeValuesNet reclassification improvement (95% CI)
MBAE prediction with lowered HV threshold (HV greater than or equal to 65 milliseconds)HV greater than or equal to 65 milliseconds performance index 90.18% (SE 3.85%)33.7% (19.6%–48.2%)

MBAE prediction with lowered HV threshold (HV greater than or equal to 65 milliseconds)

Lowering the threshold to HV greater than or equal to 65 milliseconds further improved sensitivity and net reclassification improvement for MBAE prediction

Original publication

Electrocardiogram vs Electrophysiological Study and Major Conduction Delays in Myotonic Dystrophy Type 1. JAMA Cardiol. Published 1 November 2025. doi:10.1001/jamacardio.2025.3055

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