Heart failure & cardiomyopathies
Global Trends in Heart Failure from 1990 to 2019: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study
Authors' conclusion
This study offers valuable insights into the global burden of HF, considering factors such as population aging, regional disparities, sex differences and aetiological variations.
Study context
- Population
- Global population, 1990–2019, by sex and Socio-demographic Index (SDI)
- Primary endpoint
- HF prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs) trends
- Follow-up
- 1990–2019
Methodological detailsage-period-cohort analysis, Joinpoint regression, stratified by sex and SDI
- Age-period-cohort analysis
- Joinpoint regression
- Stratified by sex and SDI
Primary result
As reported in the abstract
Global HF prevalence
Increase in global heart failure (HF) prevalence (95% uncertainty interval 99.3% to 114.3%)
106.3%
HF cases in 2019
56.2 million
Average annual percentage change, prevalence
−0.26%
Average annual percentage change, years lived with disability (YLDs)
−0.25%
Further findings
Causes of HF
- Ischaemic heart disease and hypertensive heart disease the most rapidly increasing and main contributing causes, varying across countries
Original publication
Global Trends in Heart Failure from 1990 to 2019: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study. ESC Heart Fail. Published 27 June 2024. doi:10.
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