Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Growth Differentiation Factor-15 and N-Terminal Pro-BNP in Acute Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

ESC Heart FailPublished prospective observational study

Authors' conclusion

Serum GDF15 could be an additional prognostic information to NT-proBNP in patients with HFpEF. The prognostic abilities of serum GDF15 and NT-proBNP differed according to sex. These markers were the feasible markers for patients with HFpEF, identifying those at a high risk for HF-related events and all-cause deaths.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF)mean age 73 ± 12, 42% females, median follow-up 1998 days
Participants
643 patients
Exposure
Serum GDF15 and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels and their combination for prediction of HF-related events and all-cause deaths
Outcome
HF-related events:
  • Multivariate Cox
  • Adjusted for confounding risk factors
Follow-up
Median 1998 days

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
GDF15
1.72(1.35–2.19)
P < 0.0001
NT-proBNP
1.63(1.25–2.13)
P = 0.0003

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Events during follow-up · median 1998 days

HF-related events
132
All-cause deaths
88

Prediction capacity for HF-related events with GDF15 added

Prediction capacity (with vs without GDF15)
0.7405 vs. 0.7190; P = 0.0422
Net reclassification index
0.2724
Integrated discrimination improvement
0.0246

C indices of GDF15 vs NT-proBNP in men

HF-related events (GDF15 vs NT-proBNP)
0.7389 vs. 0.6721; P = 0.0393
All-cause deaths (GDF15 vs NT-proBNP)
0.6922 vs.0.6109; P = 0.0262
Not significantly different in women

Risk stratification by combination of GDF15 and NT-proBNP

Combination identified patients at high risk for HF-related events and all-cause deaths

Original publication

Growth Differentiation Factor-15 and N-Terminal Pro-BNP in Acute Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction. ESC Heart Fail. Published 3 February 2025. doi:10.1002/ehf2.15068

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