Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Prognostic Value of Growth Differentiation Factors 15 in Acute Heart Failure Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction

ESC Heart FailPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · 1-year HF readmissionResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 2.25 95% CI 1.43–3.54

Authors' conclusion

In hospitalized patients with HFpEF, GDF-15 measured within 48 h of admission is a strong independent biomarker for 1 year HF readmission and even better than NT-proBNP. GDF-15 combined with the traditional indicators provided incremental prognostic value in this population.

Study context

Population
Patients hospitalised for acute onset of HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), Chinese cohort
Participants
380 patients
Exposure
GDF-15 tertiles; GDF-15 vs N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for prognosis
Outcome
All-cause death and HF readmission
Follow-up
1 year

Main finding

1-year HF readmission

Hazard ratio

2.25

95% CI 1.43–3.54

P < 0.001

GDF-15 tertiles
HR 2.25 (95% CI 1.43–3.54); P < 0.001

As reported in the abstract

Trend across tertiles, 1-year heart failure (HF) readmission
P < 0.001
Trend across tertiles, 1-year all-cause death
P = 0.004

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Discrimination (c-statistic), univariate Cox: GDF-15 vs NT-proBNP · 1 year

GDF-15, HF readmission
0.632
GDF-15, all-cause death
0.644
NT-proBNP, HF readmission
0.595
NT-proBNP, all-cause death
0.610

Incremental value of adding GDF-15 to adjusted model (c-statistic) · 1 year

HF readmission: 0.643 to 0.657
All-cause death: 0.638 to 0.660

Correlates of GDF-15 (multivariate linear regression)

Negative correlation with haemoglobin
P = 0.01
Positive correlation with creatinine
P = 0.01
Positive correlation with alanine transaminase
P = 0.001
Positive correlation with aldosterone antagonist therapy
P = 0.018

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Prognostic Value of Growth Differentiation Factors 15 in Acute Heart Failure Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction. ESC Heart Fail. Published 14 December 2022. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14271

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