Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Identification of biomarkers for predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies

Authors' conclusion

Well-known biomarkers, such as NT-proBNP, and others not yet incorporated into clinical practice, such as Lp(a) and sVCAM-1, could play a role in the diagnosis and preventive management of AF.

Study context

Population
Patients without prior or postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF); studies of specific populations excluded
Participants
472,581 patients10 cohort studies
Outcome
New-onset AF, by biomarker
Methodological detailsPRISMA 2020, Quality assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale
  • PRISMA 2020
  • Quality assessed with the Newcastle-Ottawa scale

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Biomarkers associated with increased AF risk, most notably NT-proBNP and sVCAM-1
18
Biomarkers associated with lower AF incidence
9
ADAMTS13 and AF incidence, HR
0.78 (95% CI 0.70-0.88)
NT-proBNP (meta-analysis) and AF incidence, HR (95% CI 1.19-1.59); I2 = 80%, p<0.01
1.37
Lp(a): significant increase in AF incidence per 20 mg/dL increment
3%

Original publication

Identification of biomarkers for predicting new-onset atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 29 January 2026. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwag061

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