Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Incidence and Predictors of Heart Failure with Improved Ejection Fraction Category in a Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction (HFrEF) Patient Population

ESC Heart FailPublished Registry-based cohort study

An erratum to this article was published (ESC Heart Fail, Apr 2025 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

In our study, in this HFrEF patient population managed in a heart failure outpatient clinic, the 1 year incidence of HFimpEF was found to be ~20%. The 1 year incidence of HFimpEF decreased in relation to time since diagnosis of HFrEF. The most important predictors of the development of HFimpEF were female sex, non-ischaemic aetiology, narrower QRS width, and smaller diameter of the left ventricle and left atrium.

Study context

Population
HFrEF patients managed in a HF outpatient clinic, Hungarian Heart Failure Registry
Participants
833 patients
Exposure
Diagnosed within 3 months vs Diagnosed 3 months–1 year vs Diagnosed beyond 1 year
Outcome
Incidence and predictors of development of HF with improved EF (HFimpEF)
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailsHungarian Heart Failure Registry, univariate and multivariate logistic regression
  • Hungarian Heart Failure Registry
  • Univariate and multivariate logistic regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Development of HFimpEF (1-year incidence)

HFrEF

19.5%

162 events

Independent predictor, whole population (multivariate)
Odds ratio (95% CI)P value
Female gender
1.73(1.01–2.96)
P < 0.05
Non-ischaemic aetiology
1.95(1.15–3.30)
P < 0.05
LVEDD <60 mm
2.04(1.18–3.51)
P < 0.05

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incidence of HFimpEF by time since HFrEF diagnosis · 1 year

Independent predictors of heart failure with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) by time since diagnosis (subgroups) · 1 year

OR (95% CI)P value
Non-ischaemic aetiologyDiagnosed within 3 months4.76 (1.83–12.4)P < 0.01
QRS widthDiagnosed within 3 months0.81 (0.71–0.94)P < 0.01
LVEDDDiagnosed 3 months–1 year0.54 (0.32–0.90)P < 0.05
Left atrial diameter ≤45 mmDiagnosed 3 months–1 year5.44 (1.45–20.4)P < 0.05
LVEDD < 67 mmDiagnosed beyond 1 year2.71 (1.07–6.88)P < 0.05

Incidence of HFimpEF by time since HFrEF diagnosis · 1 year

1-year incidence of HFimpEF decreased with time since HFrEF diagnosis

Original publication

Incidence and Predictors of Heart Failure with Improved Ejection Fraction Category in a HFrEF Patient Population. ESC Heart Fail. Published 20 December 2023. doi:10.1002/ehf2.14619

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