Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Left ventricular functional recovery after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation in heart failure: a prediction model

Eur Heart JPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In this multi-centre study, a simple four-parameter score predicted LVEF recovery after AF ablation in patients with HF and discriminated clinical outcomes.

Study context

Population
Patients with heart failure (HF) and impaired left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) (<50%) undergoing atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation
Participants
605 patients8 European centres
Exposure
Antwerp score for prediction of LVEF recovery after AF ablation
  • Respondersn = 427
Outcome
LVEF recovery (2021 Universal Definition of HF criteria)
Follow-up
12 months
Methodological detailsexternal validation of a prediction model, multicentre, 8 European centres, retrospectively identified
  • External validation of a prediction model
  • Multicentre
  • 8 European centres
  • Retrospectively identified

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of LVEF recovery (external validation of the Antwerp score)
AUC
0.86 [95% CI 0.82-0.89], P < .001
Hosmer-Lemeshow
P = .29
Probability of LVEF recovery, score < 2
93%
Probability of LVEF recovery, score > 3
24%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Clinical outcomes, responders vs non-responders

OR (95% CI)P value
RespondersPositive ventricular remodelling8.91 (4.45–17.84)P < 0.001
RespondersHF hospitalizations0.09 (0.05–0.18)P < 0.001
RespondersMortality0.11 (0.04–0.31)P < 0.001

Original publication

Left ventricular functional recovery after atrial fibrillation catheter ablation in heart failure: a prediction model. Eur Heart J. Published 30 June 2023. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehad428

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