Valvular & structural heart disease

Multimodal Machine Learning-Based Technical Failure Prediction in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement

JACC AdvPublished Prediction model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Machine learning-based models that integrate multimodal data can effectively predict VARC-3 technical failure in TAVR

Study context

Population
Consecutive patients undergoing transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) in a prospective TAVR registry
Participants
2,937 patients
Outcome
VARC-3 technical failure (cardiac and vascular)
Methodological detailsprospective registry, machine learning, holdout test set
  • Prospective registry
  • Machine learning
  • Holdout test set

Performance

As reported in the abstract

VARC-3 technical failure prediction (best-performing model, holdout test set)
Test or modelAUCNPV
Cardiac technical failure model0.7690.995
Vascular technical failure model0.7880.976

AUC

Cardiac technical failure model0.769
Vascular technical failure model0.788

NPV

Cardiac technical failure model0.995
Vascular technical failure model0.976

Further findings

Rate of technical failure

Cardiac technical failure
2.4%
Vascular technical failure
7.0%

Key determinants of technical failure (interpretability analysis)

Atherosclerotic comorbidities, CT-based aortic root and iliofemoral anatomies, antithrombotic management and procedural features consistently identified across all models

Original publication

Multimodal Machine Learning-Based Technical Failure Prediction in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement. JACC Adv. Published 18 September 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.102168

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