Prevention & lipids

Negative exercise stress echocardiography and long-term outcomes: insights from a retrospective cohort study

HeartPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Negative ESE generally predicts low risk; however, non-diagnostic or abnormal non-ischaemic GPC findings show subtle prognostic differences undetected by conventional analysis.

Study context

Population
Patients with negative treadmill exercise stress echocardiography at a tertiary hospital in Santander, Spain, 2017–2023
Participants
788 patients
Exposure
Non-diagnostic negative or abnormal non-ischaemic exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) vs diagnostic negative ESE
Outcome
Composite of:
  • All-cause mortality
  • CV death
  • Ischaemic hospitalisation
  • Coronary angiography
Follow-up
Mean 71 months
Methodological detailssingle-centre, inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW), generalised pairwise comparisons
  • Single-centre
  • IPTW
  • Generalised pairwise comparisons

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted Cox model
Each group vs diagnostic negativeHazard ratio (95% CI)
Non-diagnostic negative
0.92(0.49–1.72)
Abnormal non-ischaemic
0.80(0.24–2.61)
Overall event rate
3.2 per 100 patient-years

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeP value
GPC: angiography and mortalityNon-diagnostic negative vs Diagnostic negative · more angiographiesP = 0.04
GPC: angiography and mortalityAbnormal non-ischaemic vs Diagnostic negative · greater mortalityP = 0.02

Independent risk predictors

T2DM, HR
2.13 (95% CI 1.13 to 4.03)
LVEF, HR per 1% increase
0.97 (95% CI 0.94 to 0.99)

Generalised pairwise comparisons (GPC): angiography and mortality

Similar composite outcomes

Original publication

Negative exercise stress echocardiography and long-term outcomes: insights from a retrospective cohort study. Heart. Published 31 December 2025. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2025-326938

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