Prevention & lipids

Predictive Value of Coronary Artery Calcium Score From Nongated Chest CT Scans Compared With Gated Scans and Incidence of Cardiovascular Events

CirculationPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Nongated CAC predicts cardiovascular events with performance comparable to gated CAC.

Study context

Population
MESA exam 5 participants without previous CHD or CVD who underwent same-day gated and nongated chest CT, April 2010 to December 2011of 2601 scanned
Participants
2,472 participants
Exposure
Nongated coronary artery calcium (CAC) vs gated CAC for prediction of CHD/CVD events
Outcome
Incident CHD/CVD events
Methodological detailspaired same-day gated and nongated CT, core laboratory, blinded to acquisition methodology
  • Paired same-day gated and nongated CT
  • Core laboratory, blinded to acquisition methodology

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Each group vs zero CACHazard ratio (95% CI)
ModerateCHD
2.67(1.14–6.27)
SevereCHD
5.22(2.37–11.5)
ModerateCVD
1.32(1.32–4.04)
SevereCVD
2.89(1.68–4.96)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Correlation of gated and nongated log-standardized CAC

Pearson r
0.961
P
P < 0.001

AUC, C-statistic and Brier scores, gated vs nongated CAC

Statistically similar for gated and nongated CAC

Original publication

Predictive Value of Coronary Artery Calcium Score From Nongated Chest CT Scans Compared With Gated Scans and Incidence of Cardiovascular Events. Circulation. Published 27 July 2026. doi:10.1161/circulationaha.125.078431

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