Valvular & structural heart diseaseResearch article

Race and Ethnic-Specific Burden of Aortic Valve Calcium and Its Association With Long-Term Aortic Stenosis: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished

  • Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis
  • multivariable Cox proportional hazards
  • Aortic valve calcium (AVC) scores were not reported to participants

Authors' conclusion

The racial and ethnic groups with a higher baseline prevalence of AVC had a higher long-term incidence of moderate-severe AS, but a similar relative association between AVC and moderate-severe AS regardless of baseline atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk. Our findings suggest that differences in AS by race and ethnicity may likely be explained by the burden of AVC.

Study context

Population
MESA participants with baseline AVC quantified by the Agatston methodMESA participants with baseline AVC quantified
Participants
6,812 participants
Comparison
Association of log-transformed AVC with moderate-severe aortic stenosis (AS) for each race and ethnicity
Outcome
Long-term moderate or severe AS
Follow-up
Median 16.7 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

White

2.1/1000 person-years

rate

Chinese

0.5/1000 person-years

rate

Hazard ratio, per 1 unit higher log transformed AVC (95% CI)
White
1.82(1.62–2.03)
Hispanic
2.18(1.82–2.62)
Black
2.28(1.78–2.93)
Chinese
3.65(1.05–12.71)

Per 1 unit higher log transformed AVC, as printed

Diagnosed with moderate and severe AS
140
Moderate AS
n=56
Severe AS
n=84

Further findings

Prevalence of baseline AVC >0

Prevalence of baseline AVC >0 — Mean age
62 years
Prevalence of baseline AVC >0 — Women
47%

Original publication

Race and Ethnic-Specific Burden of Aortic Valve Calcium and Its Association With Long-Term Aortic Stenosis: Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 28 January 2026. doi:10.1161/circimaging.125.018916

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it