Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Risks of Heart Failure, Stroke, and Bleeding in Atrial Fibrillation According to Heart Failure Phenotypes

JACC Clin ElectrophysiolPublished Secondary analysis of the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

Patients with AF and HF, regardless of ejection fraction, are at a higher risk of HF events with higher subsequent mortality rates than of stroke/SEE or MB. While HFrEF is associated with a higher risk of HF events than HFpEF, the risk of stroke/SEE and MB is similar between HFrEF and HFpEF.

Study context

Population
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) enrolled in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial12,124 (57.4%) with heart failure (HF) history
Comparison
HF outcomes vs stroke/stroke/systemic embolic events (SEE) and major bleeding (MB), by HF history and phenotype
Primary endpoint
HF hospitalization (HHF) or HF death, compared with fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE and MB
Follow-up
Median 2.8 years

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

HHF or HF death (rate per 100 py)

P < 0.001

HF history: HHF or HF death rate per 100 py
4.95 (95% CI 4.70-5.20)
HF history: fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE rate per 100 py
1.77 (95% CI 1.63-1.92)
HF history: MB rate per 100 py
2.66 (95% CI 2.47-2.86)

Further findings

Fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE and MB, by HF phenotype

Rates similar by HF phenotype

Mortality after event (HF history)

After HHF
1.29 (95% CI 1.17-1.42)
After stroke/SEE
0.69 (95% CI 0.60-0.78)
After MB
0.61 (95% CI 0.53-0.70)

HF and stroke/SEE events, nonparoxysmal AF

Higher rate of HF and stroke/SEE events with nonparoxysmal AF regardless of HF history

Original publication

Risks of Heart Failure, Stroke, and Bleeding in Atrial Fibrillation According to Heart Failure Phenotypes. JACC Clin Electrophysiol. Published 22 February 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jacep.2022.11.032

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