Prevention & lipids

Serum uric acid significantly improves the accuracy of cardiovascular risk score models

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

sUA significantly improves the classification accuracy of PCE and SCORE2 models. This effect is especially pronounced among normal-weight and low-risk subjects.

Study context

Population
Asymptomatic self-referred adults aged 40–79 years free of CVD and DM, screened annually in a preventive healthcare setting
Participants
19,769 adults
Exposure
Pooled cohort equations (PCE) or SCORE2 with vs without high serum uric acid
Outcome
Composite of:
  • Death
  • ACS
  • Stroke (excluding subjects diagnosed with metastatic cancer during follow-up)
Follow-up
Median 6 years
Methodological detailsMean age 50 ± 8 years; 69% men
  • Mean age 50 ± 8 years; 69% men

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Primary endpoint; classification accuracy (continuous net reclassification improvement)

Continuous net reclassification improvement

13%

P < 0.001

PCE + high serum uric acid (sUA) vs PCE

Continuous net reclassification improvement

13%

P < 0.001

SCORE2 + high sUA vs SCORE2

Subjects reaching the study endpoint
1658 (8%)
PCE, SCORE2 and high sUA independently associated with the endpoint (multivariable model)
P < 0.001 for all

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

sUA and study endpoint by weight status (SCORE2 model, subgroup)

HR (95% CI)
sUANormal-weight subjects1.3 (1.1–1.6)
  • sUA and study endpoint by weight status (SCORE2 model, subgroup): P for interaction = 0.01

sUA and study endpoint by weight status (SCORE2 model, subgroup)

Not independently associated among overweight individuals

Model performance improvement among normal-weight and low-risk subjects (subgroup)

Significant improvement in model performance
16-20%
PCE
P < 0.001
SCORE2, normal-weight and low-risk respectively
P = 0.026 and P < 0.001

Original publication

Serum uric acid significantly improves the accuracy of cardiovascular risk score models. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 15 November 2022. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwac275

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