Prevention & lipids

Stratification by CVD risk equations does not inform the use of aspirin for primary prevention in older adults

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial

Authors' conclusion

In older persons with no prior cardiovascular events, current CVD risk scores do not identify any subgroups with overall net clinical benefit from low dose aspirin.

Study context

Population
Older persons with no prior CV events
Comparison
Aspirin vs placebo, stratified by 10-year predicted CVD risk
Primary endpoint
CVD events and major haemorrhage by baseline predicted CVD risk tertile (T1 lower, T2 intermediate, T3 higher)
Methodological detailsplacebo-controlled, subgroup analysis by predicted CVD risk tertiles
  • Placebo-controlled
  • Subgroup analysis by predicted CVD risk tertiles

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

CVD events by predicted risk tertile

Proportional reduction in CVD risk

28%

95% CI 54–95%

FRS T3

Proportional reduction in CVD risk

25%

95% CI 57–97%

Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) T3

Safety

OutcomeIncreased risk of bleeding
Major haemorrhagic eventsAspirin vs Placebo · FRS T332%
Major haemorrhagic eventsAspirin vs Placebo · ASCVD T315%

Major haemorrhagic events

Rates of major haemorrhage highest in all T3 groups
Significant increase in bleeding with aspirin vs placebo in all T1 groups and FRS and SCORE2-OP T2 groups
CVD reduction in FRS and ASCVD T3 offset by increased bleeding

Original publication

Stratification by CVD risk equations does not inform the use of aspirin for primary prevention in older adults. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 6 June 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf329

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