Coronary disease & ACS

Validation of a Contemporary Acute Kidney Injury Risk Score in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

JACC Cardiovasc IntervPublished Secondary analysis of the MATRIX randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

The updated CA-AKI risk score identifies patients at incremental risks of acute kidney injury, bleeding, and mortality.

Study context

Population
ACS patients in the MATRIX trial with complete creatinine values and no end-stage renal disease
Participants
8,201 patients
Comparison
8-component vs 12-component contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) risk model
Primary endpoint
ROC characteristics of the 8-component and 12-component CA-AKI models
Methodological detailsexternal validation of a risk score
  • External validation of a risk score

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for CA-AKI
GroupAUC
Model 10.67 (95% CI: 0.64-0.70)
Model 20.71 (95% CI: 0.68-0.74)

AUC

Model 10.67 (95% CI: 0.64-0.70)
Model 20.71 (95% CI: 0.68-0.74)
CA-AKI risk systematically overestimated with both models (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test)
P < 0.05

Further findings

All-cause mortality and bleeding, CA-AKI vs no CA-AKI · 1 year

HR (95% CI)
CA-AKIAll-cause mortality7.03 (5.47–9.05)
CA-AKIBleeding3.20 (2.56–3.99)

CA-AKI incidence

CA-AKI occurred
5.5%
Stepwise increase of CA-AKI rates from lowest to highest of the 4 risk categories

All-cause mortality and bleeding, CA-AKI vs no CA-AKI · 1 year

Gradual risk increase for mortality and bleeding by CA-AKI risk category for both models

Original publication

Validation of a Contemporary Acute Kidney Injury Risk Score in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome. JACC Cardiovasc Interv. Published 14 August 2023. doi:10.1016/j.jcin.2023.06.015

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