Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

A novel polygenic risk score improves prognostic prediction of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in the Chinese Han population

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished Prognostic model development study

Authors' conclusion

The HF-PRS comprising 69 genetic variants provided an improvement of prognostic power over the contemporary risk scores and NT-proBNP in HFpEF patients.

Study context

Population
HFpEF patients, Chinese Han population
Participants
1,442 patients
Comparison
HF-PRS vs clinical risk score
Outcome
All-cause mortality
Follow-up
1 year
Methodological detailsmicroarray candidate gene selection, internal cross-validation
  • Microarray candidate gene selection
  • Internal cross-validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for 1-year all-cause mortality

Net reclassification improvement (NRI)

0.741

95% CI 0.605–0.877P < 0.001

HF-PRS

Integrated discrimination improvement (IDI)

0.181

95% CI 0.145–0.218P < 0.001

HF-PRS

HF-PRS

0.852

95% CI 0.827–0.877

AUC

Clinical risk score

0.696

95% CI 0.658–0.734

AUC

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
Mortality by HF-PRS tertileMedium tertilevs Lowest tertile5.3 (2.4–11.9)P = 5.6 × 10-5
Mortality by HF-PRS tertileHighest tertilevs Lowest tertile29.8 (14.0–63.5)P = 1.4 × 10-18

Discrimination in cross-validation and subgroups

Excellent in cross validation and throughout subgroups regardless of comorbidities, gender, and history of heart failure (HF)

Original publication

A novel polygenic risk score improves prognostic prediction of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in the Chinese Han population. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 21 June 2023. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwad209

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