Congenital heart disease

Artificial Intelligence–Enabled Electrocardiogram (ECG) for Diastolic Dysfunction in Congenital Heart Disease: A Novel Risk Stratification Tool

JACC AdvPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

AI-ECG diastolic grading correlates with echocardiographic and invasive measures of cardiac filling pressures and independently predicts mortality in ACHD.

Study context

Population
Adults with congenital heart disease, Mayo Clinic adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) Registry, 2000–2023
Participants
6,741 adults
Exposure
AI-ECG diastolic grades 1–3 vs grade 0
Outcome
Mortality by AI-ECG diastolic grade
Follow-up
Median 10 (5-15) years
Methodological detailssingle-centre
  • Single-centre

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Independent predictor of mortality
Each group vs grade 0Hazard ratio (95% CI)
Grade 2
1.38(1.09–1.75)
Grade 3
1.63(1.27–2.08)
Survival differed by grade
log-rank P < 0.0001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

HF prevalence, lower vs higher grades

HF 6.7% vs 24.8%; higher grades also with older age, greater CHD complexity, diabetes, cirrhosis
P < 0.001

NT-proBNP, lowest to highest grade

Rose with each grade: 129 [60-304] to 763 [311-1,915] pg/mL
P < 0.001

Correlation of AI-ECG pressure estimates with strain

Left atrial strain ρ
−0.52
RV strain ρ
−0.50

Invasive hemodynamics, lowest to highest grade

Right atrial pressure 8 (6-11) to 13 (10-18) mm Hg; wedge pressure 11 (8-14) to 16 (12-21) mm Hg
P < 0.001

Detection of pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP) ≥20 mm Hg

AUC
0.74 (95% CI: 0.70-0.78)

Original publication

Artificial Intelligence–Enabled ECG for Diastolic Dysfunction in Congenital Heart Disease: A Novel Risk Stratification Tool. JACC Adv. Published 16 December 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.102413

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it

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