Valvular & structural heart disease

Atrial Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation: Contemporary Characteristics, Outcomes, and Novel Risk Score

JACC AdvPublished Retrospective study developing a novel risk model

Authors' conclusion

Patients with AF-TR had poor prognosis especially if tricuspid regurgitation effective regurgitant orifice area was ≥0.40 cm2, validating the guidelines threshold for severe tricuspid regurgitation. A novel risk score for 1-year mortality in patients with AF-TR was developed, offering potential utility for risk stratification and treatment guidance; however, external validation is needed.

Study context

Population
Consecutive patients with at least moderate-to-severe atrial functional tricuspid regurgitation (AF-TR) seen between January 2004 and December 2018patients with AF-TR (mean age 73.9 ± 15.0 years, 82.2% female, mean follow-up 4.1 ± 3.6 years)
Participants
370 patientsEvents: 81 (21.9%)
Predictors
Right heart failure, serum albumin, right atrial volume indexed, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/right ventricular systolic pressure ratio, and TR-effective regurgitant orifice area
Predicted outcome
1-year all-cause mortality
Methodological detailsconsecutive patients, univariable and multivariable logistic regression
  • Consecutive patients
  • Univariable and multivariable logistic regression

Model performance

As reported in the abstract

Area under the curve
Risk model discrimination
0.87
  • Derived model; external validation is needed

Further findings

Median survival by AF-TR effective regurgitant orifice area

Independent associations with 1-year mortality (multivariable)

OR (95% CI)
Right heart failure2.40 (1.31–4.41)
Serum albumin (lower)0.88 (0.85–0.92)
Right atrial volume indexed (higher)1.25 (1.04–1.49)
Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/right ventricular systolic pressure ratio (lower)0.82 (0.70–0.95)
TR-effective regurgitant orifice area (higher)1.11 (1.02–1.21)

Total mortality · mean follow-up 4.1 ± 3.6 years

Total mortality
219 (59.2%)

Original publication

Atrial Functional Tricuspid Regurgitation: Contemporary Characteristics, Outcomes, and Novel Risk Score. JACC Adv. Published 25 February 2025. doi:10.1016/j.jacadv.2025.101623

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