Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Natural history of the PR interval and risk of cardiac events and mortality: a nationwide study

HeartPublished nationwide study

Authors' conclusion

Prevalence of PR prolongation and temporal PR changes increased with age. Short, long and temporal changes in the PR interval were all associated with increased risk of cardiac events and all-cause mortality.

Study context

Population
Individuals with nationwide hospital ECGs in Denmark9,020,051 ECGs, 53% female, 1,213,073 patients having >1 ECG
Participants
2,234,492 individuals
Exposure
Index-PR interval and absolute temporal changes in PR interval (ΔPR) in relation to cardiac events
Outcome
Atrial fibrillation/flutter, heart failure and ventricular arrhythmias by index-PR interval
Methodological detailsNationwide hospital ECGs linked with Danish national registries, multivariable cause-specific Cox models
  • Nationwide hospital ECGs linked with Danish national registries
  • Multivariable cause-specific Cox models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

U-shaped HR pattern; atrial fibrillation/flutter HR

1.03-1.24

Heart failure HR

1.04-1.11

Ventricular arrhythmias HR

1.08-1.16

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Syncope by index-PR interval

Stepwise increase at PR interval ≥170 ms, HR
1.08-1.36
  • p<0.001

High-degree atrioventricular block/cardiac device implantation by index-PR interval

Linear increasing at PR intervals >160 ms, HR
1.07-2.11
  • p<0.05

All-cause mortality by index-PR interval

J-shaped; shortest PR intervals HR
1.44
Longest PR intervals HR
1.03
  • p<0.001 for each

Cardiac events by ΔPR

Stepwise increases in HR for all events

Descriptive PR interval characteristics · Median follow-up 7.1 years

Median index-PR interval
158 ms
PR interval <120 ms
2.9%
PR interval >200 ms
7.4%
Median ΔPR
10 ms
Prevalence of prolonged PR interval increased with age
ΔPR highest among the oldest

Original publication

Natural history of the PR interval and risk of cardiac events and mortality: a nationwide study. Heart. Published 7 December 2025. doi:10.1136/heartjnl-2025-327183

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.