HypertensionCohort study

Predicting high excess risk of hyponatraemia among thiazide users

Eur J Prev CardiolPublished

  • Population-based cohort study
  • causal forest prediction model
  • development and validation cohorts

Authors' conclusion

The population-level burden of thiazide-induced hyponatraemia can potentially be markedly reduced by identifying and prescribing alternative antihypertensive drugs to high-risk patient groups using a simple set of baseline information.

Study context

Population
Individuals aged ≥40 years, Denmark, 2014–2020development 185,699
Exposure
Thiazide vs non-thiazide antihypertensive drugs
Outcome
Moderate-to-severe hyponatraemia (plasma sodium <130 mmol/L)
Follow-up
Within 120 days of treatment

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Excess risk of hyponatraemia with thiazide · 120 days
Average excess risk among thiazide-treated
1.8% (95% CI, 1.3-2.2%)
Individual-level excess risk range
−1.6% to 15.9%
Average excess risk in top 10% highest-risk thiazide-treated
7.4% (95% CI, 4.4-10.5%)
Four-covariate model (age, baseline sodium, haemoglobin, C-reactive protein) concordance-for-benefit, validation cohort
0.66 (95% CI, 0.66-0.67)
Reassigning high-risk group to non-thiazide drugs: reduction in excess risk
0.7% (95% CI, 0.4-1.0%); 42% relative reduction

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Predicting high excess risk of hyponatraemia among thiazide users. Eur J Prev Cardiol. Published 30 July 2025. doi:10.1093/eurjpc/zwaf474

Summarised from the published abstract; every number is checked against it