Valvular & structural heart disease

Predicting short-term outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis

Am Heart JPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Despite using a combination of detailed STS/ACC TVT Registry and electronic health record data, predicting short-term clinical and patient-centered outcomes after TAVR remains challenging.

Study context

Population
Adults undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement (TAVR) for AS at Kaiser Permanente Northern California, 2013–2019
Participants
1,565 adults
Outcome
Prediction of 30-day outcomes: all-cause death, improvement in quality of life, all-cause hospitalizations, all-cause ED visits, HF-related hospitalizations, HF-related ED visits
Follow-up
30 days
Methodological detailsprediction model development, integrated healthcare delivery system
  • Prediction model development
  • Integrated healthcare delivery system

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Risk of adverse 30-day outcomes, lowest (heart failure (HF) hospitalizations)
1.3%
Risk of adverse 30-day outcomes, highest (all-cause emergency department (ED) visits)
15.3%
Discrimination for death (AUC)
0.60
Discrimination for quality of life (AUC)
0.62
Discrimination for HF-related ED visits (AUC)
0.76

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Individual predictors

Society for Thoracic Surgeons (STS) risk score independently predicted only death and all-cause hospitalization
Older age independently predicted only HF-related ED visits
Race/ethnicity not significantly associated with any outcome

Original publication

Predicting short-term outcomes after transcatheter aortic valve replacement for aortic stenosis. Am Heart J. Published 11 November 2022. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2022.11.007

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