Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Predictors of nonpulmonary vein triggers for atrial fibrillation: A clinical risk score

Heart RhythmPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

A risk score incorporating predictors for NPVTs may allow provocation of triggers to be performed in patients with greatest expected yield.

Study context

Population
Consecutive patients undergoing atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation, Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, January 2021–December 2022
Participants
1,530 AF ablations
Outcome
Presence of NPVTs (non-pulmonary vein ectopic beats triggering AF or focal atrial tachycardia)
Methodological detailssingle-centre registry, derivation (80%) and validation (20%) sets
  • Single-centre registry
  • Derivation (80%) and validation (20%) sets

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Risk factors for NPVTs (multivariable, derivation set) and PRE2SSS2 score
Non-pulmonary vein triggers (NPVTs) observed
235 (15.4%)
Female sex, OR
1.40 (95% CI 0.96-2.03; P = .080)
Sinus node dysfunction, OR
1.67 (95% CI 0.98-2.87; P = .060)
Previous AF ablation, OR
2.50 (95% CI 1.70-3.65; P <.001)
Left atrial scar, OR
2.90 (95% CI 1.94-4.36; P <.001)
PRE2SSS2 score AUC in validation cohort
0.728 (95% CI 0.648-0.807)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Predictors of nonpulmonary vein triggers for atrial fibrillation: A clinical risk score. Heart Rhythm. Published 29 January 2024. doi:10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.01.048

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