Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Subclinical device-detected atrial fibrillation and stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Eur Heart JPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis

Pooled result · Annual stroke rateResult — go to the resultFold increased risk 2.4 95% CI 1.8–3.3

Authors' conclusion

Subclinical AF strongly predicts clinical AF and is associated with elevated absolute stroke risk albeit lower than risk described for clinical AF.

Study context

Population
Patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs)11 studies
Comparison
Subclinical atrial fibrillation (AF) > defined cut-off duration vs subclinical AF < cut-off duration
Outcome
Stroke risk in subclinical AF and temporal association between subclinical AF and stroke

Pooled result

Annual stroke rate

Fold increased risk

2.4

95% CI 1.8–3.3

P < 0.001

By group

Subclinical AF > cut-off

1.89/100 person-year

95% CI 1.02–3.52

Subclinical AF < cut-off

0.93/100 person-year

As reported in the abstract

Further pooled results

Association of subclinical AF with clinical AF

OR (95% CI)P value
Subclinical AFI2 = 0%5.7 (4.0–8.0)P < 0.001

Prevalence of subclinical AF after CIED implant (unselected patients with pacing indication) · 1-2.5 years

Subclinical AF prevalence
35% [IQR 34-42]

Annual stroke rate, studies with mean CHADS2 score 2.1 ± 0.1 (3 studies)

Annual stroke rate with subclinical AF
2.76/100 person-years (95% CI 1.46-5.23)

Temporal relationship of subclinical AF and stroke

Strokes in presence of ongoing AF (after excluding patients without AF)
17%
Subclinical AF within 30 days preceding stroke
29% [IQR 8-57]

Original publication

Subclinical device-detected atrial fibrillation and stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur Heart J. Published 10 January 2018. doi:10.1093/eurheartj/ehx731

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