Arrhythmias & electrophysiology

Temporal trends in loss of expected lifetime associated with cardiovascular complications following newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation: a Danish nationwide cohort study from 2000 to 2022

Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin OutcomesPublished Nationwide registry-based matched cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Among patients with AF, the loss of expected lifetime after incident ischaemic stroke, HF, and MI improved modestly over the past two decades but not after gastrointestinal or intracranial bleeding.

Study context

Population
Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) developing ischaemic stroke, GI bleeding, intracranial bleeding, heart failure (HF) or myocardial infarction (MI), and matched AF referents, Denmark, 2000–2022matched referents
Exposure
AF patients with vs without a CV complication; loss of lifetime 2000–10 vs 2011–22
Outcome
Loss of life expectancy (difference in restricted mean survival time between AF patients with and without a complication), compared between periods

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Loss of life expectancy (difference in restricted mean survival time, AF with vs without complication)
Ischaemic stroke: loss of lifetime improved (−2.1 vs. −1.8 years)
difference 4.0 months, 95% CI 2.4-5.6; P < 0.001
Gastrointestinal bleeding: no evidence of trend (−1.7 vs. −1.8 years)
difference −0.8 months, 95% CI −2.5 to 0.8; P = 0.32
Intracranial bleeding: no evidence of trend (−3.3 vs. −3.1 years)
difference 1.6 months, 95% CI −1.3 to 4.6; P = 0.28
HF: loss of lifetime improved (−2.1 vs. −1.9 years)
difference 2.4 months, 95% CI 0.9-3.8; P = 0.001
MI: loss of lifetime improved (−1.6 vs. −1.1 years)
difference 5.9 months, 95% CI 3.3-8.5; P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Temporal trends in loss of expected lifetime associated with cardiovascular complications following newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation: a Danish nationwide cohort study from 2000 to 2022. Eur Heart J Qual Care Clin Outcomes. Published 12 May 2025. doi:10.1093/ehjqcco/qcaf026

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