Heart failure & cardiomyopathies

Predicting the risk of 1-year mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in China

Am Heart JPublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

A prediction model using readily available predictors was developed and internal validated to predict 1-year mortality risk among patients hospitalized for AHF.

Study context

Population
Patients hospitalised for acute HF in 52 hospitals across 20 provinces, China (China PEACE Prospective Heart Failure Study)
Participants
4,875 patients
Comparison
Development vs Validation
Outcome
1-year mortality
Follow-up
1 year after discharge
Methodological detailsprospective, multicentre, internal validation
  • Prospective
  • Multicentre
  • Internal validation

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of 13-predictor model (C-index)

Development

0.759

C-index · 95% CI 0.739–0.778

Validation

0.761

C-index · 95% CI 0.731–0.791

Further findings

1-year mortality after discharge

Died within 1 year of discharge
857 (17.58%)

Point-based risk score

Low risk
0-12
Intermediate risk
13-16
High risk
≥17

Original publication

Predicting the risk of 1-year mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in China. Am Heart J. Published 13 March 2024. doi:10.1016/j.ahj.2024.03.005

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.