Heart failure & cardiomyopathies
Predicting the risk of 1-year mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in China
Authors' conclusion
A prediction model using readily available predictors was developed and internal validated to predict 1-year mortality risk among patients hospitalized for AHF.
Study context
- Population
- Patients hospitalised for acute HF in 52 hospitals across 20 provinces, China (China PEACE Prospective Heart Failure Study)
- Participants
- 4,875 patients
- Comparison
- Development vs Validation
- Outcome
- 1-year mortality
- Follow-up
- 1 year after discharge
Methodological detailsprospective, multicentre, internal validation
- Prospective
- Multicentre
- Internal validation
Performance
As reported in the abstract
Discrimination of 13-predictor model (C-index)
Development
0.759
C-index · 95% CI 0.739–0.778
Validation
0.761
C-index · 95% CI 0.731–0.791
Further findings
1-year mortality after discharge
- Died within 1 year of discharge
- 857 (17.58%)
Point-based risk score
- Low risk
- 0-12
- Intermediate risk
- 13-16
- High risk
- ≥17
Original publication
Predicting the risk of 1-year mortality among patients hospitalized for acute heart failure in China. Am Heart J. Published 13 March 2024. doi:10. 1016/ j. ahj. 2024. 03. 005
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