Prevention & lipids

Variability in Lipid Profiles During Young Adulthood and the Risk of Coronary Artery Calcium Incidence in Midlife: Insights From the CARDIA Study

Circ Cardiovasc ImagingPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elevated variability in LDL-C and non-HDL-C during young adulthood was associated with an increased risk of CAC incidence in midlife, especially among those with high mean levels of atherogenic lipoproteins.

Study context

Population
CARDIA participants with initial coronary artery calcium (CAC) =0 (41.6% men; mean±SD age 40.2±3.6 years)
Participants
2,395 participants
Exposure
Higher vs lower lipid variability (VIM, per 1-SD increment) and mean lipid levels in young adulthood
Outcome
CAC incidence (CAC >0 at follow-up)
Follow-up
Mean 9.0 years

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

CAC incidence per 1-SD increment of lipid variability (VIM)
Hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
LDL-C variability (per 1-SD)
1.139(1.048–1.238)
P = 0.002
Non-HDL-C variability (per 1-SD)
1.102(1.014–1.198)
P = 0.022
TG variability (per 1-SD)
1.480(1.384–1.582)
P < 0.001

Per 1-SD, as printed

CAC incidence
534 individuals (22.3%)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

CAC incidence by elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) variability, even in low mean levels of LDL-C (combination analysis)

HR (95% CI)P value
Elevated variability of LDL-CEven in low mean levels of LDL-C · robust across sensitivity and subgroup analyses1.396 (1.106–1.763)P = 0.005
Both high lipid levels and high variability (LDL-C and non-HDL-C): greatest risk of CAC incidence
Higher mean levels of total cholesterol, LDL-C and non-HDL-C associated with greater risk of CAC incidence

Original publication

Variability in Lipid Profiles During Young Adulthood and the Risk of Coronary Artery Calcium Incidence in Midlife: Insights From the CARDIA Study. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. Published 13 September 2024. doi:10.1161/circimaging.123.016842

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